POLLING IN RAJASTHAN & TELANGANA WILL END PSEPHOLOGISTS’ PREDICTION NIGHTMARES
The Psephologists Nightmare (Inability to Predict Correctly in Pre-Poll Surveys) in Rajasthan and Telangana will End Today 7 December 2018 after Polling is completed, with the Exit Polls Indicating as to:
Who among the Pro-Modi and Anti-Vasundhara Voters in Rajasthan and who among the Pro-TRS CM KCR and the Anti-CM Chandrababu Naidu voted in bigger Numbers, to deliver the Victory Mandate, to either the BJP OR the INC in Rajasthan, and to either the TRS OR the INC-TDP in Telangana.
PRE-POLL PREDICTIONS WERE PSEPHOLOGY NIGHTMARES
The Pre-Poll Prediction of the Results of the Rajasthan and the Telangana Assembly Elections has been the Psephologists Nightmare.
This is because there are too many complicated happenings in both the States, thus preventing any clarity on which section of voters is voting for which Party.
So, all the Pre-Poll Predictions about the Rajasthan and the Telangana Results would be proved to be wrong.
The Psephologists Nightmare Ends today, as Polling will be completed in the One Day Poll in both Telangana and Rajasthan.
PSEPHOLOGISTS NIGHTMARE IN RAJASTHAN
Psephologists have a Nightmare in Rajasthan predicting the Results because there are TWO Powerful Voting Intentions in Rajasthan.
The Exit Polls today Night after the Polling is completed might indicate IF the Rajasthan Pre-Poll Surveys were correct or Not in their Predictions.
ONE: WILL ANTI-VASUNDHARA ANGER-WAVE DEFEAT BJP?
ONE: There is the huge wave of public anger against the Persona of the BJP Chief Minister Vasundhara.
The Voter anger against the Chief Minister Vasundhara is not limited to the Anti-BJP Voters but extends to even the BJP Voters.
So, on the surface it seems that because of the voters anger against the BJP Chief Minister Vasundhara, the BJP will Lose the Majority in the Assembly Elections and lose the Government.
So, almost all the Pre-Poll Opinion Polls, without any Exception, Predicted that the BJP will win less than 80 of the 200 Seats and the INC will reap the harvest of more than 120 Seats.
Some Pre-Poll Surveys even suggested that the BJP would collapse to below 50 MLAs and that the INC would win more than 150 Seats.
Will the Voters vote in accordance with the Pre-Poll Opinion Polls Predictions in Rajasthan?
TWO: CAN PRO-MODI VOTES-WAVE NEUTRALISE ANTI-VASUNDHARA VOTER ANGER, TO MAKE BJP REWIN GOV?
TWO: There is the Huge Wave of Support and admiration across Rajasthan among the majority of the Voters, for the Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
The BJP will LOSE Rajasthan IF the Admirers of the Prime Minister Narendra Modi decide to Punish the Chief Minister Vasundhara in the Assembly Elections, but vote massively in the Lok Sabha Elections to make sure that the Prime Minister
Narendra Modi led BJP wins all the 25 Lok Sabha Seats.
However, a large portion of the Anti-Vasundhara Voters might feel that by defeating the BJP due to their anger against the Chief Minister Vasundhara, they would be weakening the Electoral Stature of the Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
So a large number of the voters angry at the Chief Minister Vasundhara might vote for the BJP, to ensure that the Prime Minister Narendra Modi continues to be strong Electorally and politically.
So, How many of the Pro-Modi Voters angry at Chief Minister Vasundhara will vote for the BJP, to prevent the weakening of the Prime Minister Narendra Modi?
The answer for the above question is impossible to quantify and calibrate.
RAJASTHAN NIGHTMARE FOR PSEPHOLOGISTS
The Voting Intentions of the Anti-Vasundhara Voters and the Pro-Modi Voters makes it impossible to correctly Predict the Rajasthan Results, in the Pre-Poll Surveys.
Calibrating accurately as to which of the TWO Voting Intentions will Decide the Result in the 200 Assembly Seats in Rajasthan, is the Psephologists’ Nightmare in Predicting the Results.
PSEPHOLOGISTS NIGHTMARE IN TELANGANA
Psephologists have a Nightmare in Telangana predicting the Results because there are FOUR Powerful Voting Intentions in Telangana.
Calibrating accurately as to which of the FOUR Voting Intentions will Decide the Result in the 119 Assembly Seats in Telangana, is the Psephologists’ Nightmare in Predicting the Results.
ONE: WELFARE BENEFICIARIES SUPPORT WAVE FOR TRS
There is the huge votes-wave of support for the Telangana Rashtra Samiti Chief Minister K.Chandrasekhara Rao led TRS because of the successful Delivery of over a Dozen Welfare and Infrastructure Schemes.
The beneficiaries of these KCR Welfare and Infrastructure Schemes will vote for the TRS.
TWO: ANTI-CM KCR-ANGER DUE TO INACCESSIBILITY
Chief Minister KCR has been arrogantly inaccessible to his Ministers, MLAs, Party Activists and even Voters in his Assembly Constituency of Gajwel.
The Chief Minister K.Chandrasekhara Rao has not met the Telangana Rashtra Samiti Activists and Voters even in his own Assembly Seat of Gajwel.
So, there is the Anti-KCR Campaign by the INC led Opposition about the Chief Minister being arrogantly inaccessible to anyone all through the 5 years term.
So how many who are angry at inaccessibility of the Chief Minister K.Chandrasekhara Rao will Vote against the Telangana Rashtra Samiti in the 7 December 2018 Assembly Elections.
KCR SPENT TIME GOVERNING & HENCE INACCESSIBLE
The Chief Minister KCR says that he did NOT waste time in Empty Meetings with Politicians.
The Chief Minister K.C.Rao spent all his time in Governance and hence became inaccessible to all those who had no role in the Governance of Telangana.
The Chief Minister K.C.Rao instead spent most of his time discussing creation of solutions to all matters inflicting the Telangana people and the Telangana Society.
The Chief Minister thus could give birth to dozens of Welfare Schemes to provide relief to the Farmers, the Poor, the Women, the Youth and the Lower Middle Classes.
The Chief Minister could invent Programmes to increase the Incomes of the Farmers, Shepherds and others depending on various Occupations for their livelihood.
The Chief Minister could design programmes to bring drinking water through pipelines from the Godavari River, to every home, through the High Water Storage Tank supplying through Taps to every home.
The Chief Minister could initiate Lift Irrigation Programmes to bring Irrigation Water to ONE CRORE ACRES of Land, hitherto depending only on Rainfall Irrigation.
The Chief Minister thus spent his time on Governance and did Not spend his time on empty Talk Meetings with Politicians.
The Beneficiaries of the Welfare Programmes will have no reason to complain about inaccessibility of the Chief Minister, as they are gratefully happy with the Chief Minister for giving them relief.
So, how many of those who felt that the Chief Minister was inaccessible to meet them, will vote against the TRS?
THREE: TOO MANY IN CM KCR FAMILY IN GOV POSTS
There is anger of many voters against the Chief Minister K.C.Rao for making his Family Dominate the Party and the Government, and for making all the others in the TRS Party and the Government absolutely irrelevant.
The CM’s Son K.T.Rama Rao is a Minister.
The CM’s Nephew Harish Rao is a Minister.
The CM’s Daughter Kavita is the Nizamabad Lok Sabha Seat MP.
The CM’s Nephew Santosh is the Rajya Sabha MP.
The Five of the KCR Family completely dominate the TRS Party and Government.
But then those who are angry at the Family Rule of KCR must also be angry at the Sonia-Rahul Family Rule in the Congress Party and the hitherto Congress Party Governments.
Those who are angry at the Family Rule of KCR must also be angry at the Telugu Desam Family Rule of the Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N.Chandrababu Naidu, Minister Son Lokesh, MLA Brother-in-Law Actor Balakrishna and the Domination of a Dozen Kamma Caste Persons in Posts privatising the running of the TDP and the Government.
OR DO Sonia-Rahul and Chandrababu Naidu have the Unquestioned Right to Indulge in Family Politics but CM KCR has NO Right to depend on his Family for assistance in running the TRS Party and the Government!
So, those who are BLIND to the Family Politics Rule of Sonia-Rahul and Chandrababu Naidu but are angry at the Family Rule of KCR will vote against the TRS. How Many?
FOUR: VOTERS FEEL CHANDRABABU IS TELANGANA ENEMY
The Majority of the voters in Telangana believe that the Andhra Telugu Desam Party Chief Minister is ENEMY NUMBER ONE of the Telangana State and the Telangana People.
The Voters feel that the Congress Party by aligning with Chandrababu Naidu will HARM the Water, Social, Economic, Political Interests of the Telangana State and the People.
The Voters FEAR that Chandrababu Naidu will Fill all the Key Posts in the Chief Minister’s Office and in the Government with the Andhra Kamma Caste Officers to destroy the Economy and Access to River Water of the Telangana Farmers and the People.
So there is a Wave of voters anger against the INC-TDP Alliance, which will cause many voters to vote against the INC-TDP by voting for the KCR Led TRS.
NIGHTMARE FOR PSEPHOLOGISTS
The Voting Intentions of the Anti-Chandrababu Naidu Voters and the Pro-Chief Minister K.Chandrasekhara Rao Voters makes it impossible to correctly Predict the Telangana Results, in the Pre-Poll Surveys.
The Exit Polls today 7 December 2018 Night, after the Polling is completed, might indicate IF the Telangana Pre-Poll Surveys were correct or Not in their Predictions.
The Psephologists Nightmare (Inability to Predict Correctly in Pre-Poll Surveys) in Rajasthan and Telangana will End Today 7 December 2018 after Polling is completed, with the Exit Polls Indicating as to: Who among the Pro-Modi and Anti-Vasundhara Voters in Rajasthan and who among the Pro-TRS CM KCR and the Anti-CM Chandrababu Naidu voted in bigger Numbers, to deliver the Victory Mandate, to either the BJP OR the INC in Rajasthan, and to either the TRS OR the INC-TDP in Telangana.